New Orleans +3 vs New England: I don’t like to bet against Tom Brady at home very often, especially after a game that saw his passing touchdown streak come to an end but I will make an exception here. The Saints are 5-0 and are no fluke. They continue to play outstanding defence not allowing any team to score over 17 points against them. The Patriots are expected to get Rob Gronkowski back, after Danny Amendola made his return last week, but this offence might still need some time to get in sync. The Saints are playing far too well not to take the points here, and even though it is back to back road games for New Orleans, I will ride the hot team as long as they continue cashing tickets.
Jacksonville +27 vs Denver Total 52.5: Jacksonville has not covered a spread all year but 27 points is ridiculous. While the undefeated Broncos are riding high, this is a sandwich game for them with Peyton Manning returning to Indianapolis next week. The play here has to be the over. The Broncos score over 40 points in their sleep while the Jags should be able to get garbage points at the end like they did against a much better defence in Seattle earlier this season. Manning will be out of the game by the 4th quarter so I don’t want to risk a Jags back door cover and lay this ridiculous number. Every Denver game has gone over this season, and I see this one being no different.
Washington + 6 vs Dallas: Dallas is coming off a heart breaking home loss to Denver that saw Tony Romo throw for over 500 yards, 5 touchdowns, but all anyone wanted to talk about after the game was his costly interception that set up the Broncos winning score. It is hard to forget about losses like that one and now the Redskins come to town with some momentum after an 0-3 start they beat Oakland then got rested up with the bye week. Last year Washington swept Dallas and RGIII had a lot of success with this defence. In a prime time divisional contest, I say take the points with Washington in a game I expect to come down to the wire.